Vector-Smart-Object-1 - Daily Reports & Live HDD/CDD Statistics

Latest Monday News: Cooler Weekend Trends Lead to Strong Selling

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Monday:   From Sunday’s Daily Report before the open:  “Selling occurred Friday afternoon and was attributed to the GFS model shedding 15 CDDs on cooler trends.  The GFS had been nearly 20 CDDs hotter than the EC before giving back demand Friday to finally become better aligned.  Cooler trends continued over the weekend with the GFS shedding 3 CDDs, while the EC was down a heftier 9 CDDs and could be reason for a lower open.  The coming 15-day pattern is still slightly bullish due to national CDDs being above normal most days.  However, with much more comfortable temperatures arriving over the East Aug 10-20, national demand just won’t be nearly as intimidating as it’s been the past 6-weeks.  To that point, weather patterns could disappoint.” 

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This Weeks Nat Gas Demand

Aug 8-14:  A weather systems will track across the Midwest the next few days w/showers and highs of 60s to 80s. The rest of the US will be under hot high pressure to open the week w/highs of 90s-100s, including mid-90s major East Coast cities. The Midwest weather system will track into the East Wed-Sun w/highs of 70s and 80s to ease national demand despite hot high pressure holding strong over the western, central, and southern US. Overall, strong to very strong demand Mon-Tue, then easing to moderate-high later in the week and this weekend.

Aug 11: EIA Report vs Normal

EIA Nat Gas Report: Aug 4

Nat Gas In Underground Storage

August 4:   Today’s EIA weekly nat gas storage report printed a build of +41 Bcf, larger than market expectations of +32 Bcf and slightly larger than the 5-year average of +33 Bcf to improve supplies from 2,416 Bcf to 2,457.  This improved deficits slightly to -337 Bcf. Next week’s build is expected to again be near to a little larger than the 5-year average.

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UNG Roll Over – 2022